Method in madness? Why RBI, govt not acting tough on rupee
Method in madness? Why RBI, govt not acting tough on rupee Macro factors for India have been under pressure during the first half of FY2019. Among currency, current account deficit and fiscal deficit, it may be worthwhile in the shorter term to focus on the fiscal deficit. From a currency perspective, the rupee may be just correcting to its fundamental level after a period of over-valuation. In fact, the rupee seems to be more or less at its fundamental level at this stage. It can overshoot its fundamental level on heightened concerns, but that may be the appropriate reason and time for RBI and the government to explore intervention. There may not be a need to take any extraordinary measures to support rupee at this juncture. The government and RBI may want to keep tougher options like interest rate hike and NRI bond for later, just in case India’s macro fundamentals were to weaken further. There are potential risks to the macro position based on further weakness in sentiment